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We've made huge technology leaps since the new century began, which got me thinking about the difference today's technology will make in the lives of tomorrow's kids.½øÈëÐÂÊÀ¼ÍÒÔÀ´£¬¿Æ¼¼Í»·ÉÃͽø£¬ÎÒ²»½ûÏ룬½ñÌìµÄÕâЩ¿Æ¼¼»á¶ÔÃ÷Ì캢×ÓÃǵÄÉú»î²úÉúʲôӰÏìÄØ£¿
Do you think kids born in 2011 will recognize any of the following?ÄãÈÏΪ2011Äê³öÉúµÄº¢×Ó»áÈϵÃÏÂÃæÕâЩÊÂÎïÖеÄÈκÎÒ»¸öÂð£¿
Video tape¼Ӱ´ø
Starting this year, the news stories we produce have all been shot, edited, and distributed to TV stations without ever being on any kind of tape. Not only that, the tape-less broadcast camera we use today offers much higher quality than anything that could have been imagined 10 years ago -- and cost less than the lens on the camera we were using previously.´Ó½ñÄ꿪ʼ£¬ÎÒÃǵĵçÊÓÐÂÎÅ´ÓÅÄÉ㣬µ½¼ô¼£¬ÔÙµ½´«Êäµ½µçÊǪ́µÄÕû¸ö¹ý³Ì¶¼½«²»»áʹÓÃÈκÎÐÎʽµÄ¼Ӱ´ø¡£²»½öÈç´Ë£¬ÏÖÔÚµÄÊýÂëÉãÏñ»úÄܹ»ÌṩÎÒÃÇÊ®Äêǰ¸ù±¾ÏëÏó²»µ½µÄ¸ßÖÊÁ¿Ó°Ïñ¡ª¡ª¶øÕû¸ö»¨·Ñ±ÈÎÒÃÇ´ÓǰÓõÄÉãÓ°»úµÄÒ»¸ö¾µÍ·»¹ÒªÉÙ¡£
Movie rental storesÓ°µú³ö×âµê
You actually got in your car and drove someplace just to rent a movie?Ôø¾ÈËÃÇÕæµÄ¿ª×ųµµ½Ä³¸öµØ·½È¥×âÁÞÓ°µúÂð£¿
Books, magazines, and newspapersÊé¼®£¬ÔÓÖ¾ºÍ±¨Ö½
Like video tape, words written on dead trees are on their way out. Sure, there may be books -- but for those born today, stores that exist solely to sell them will be as numerous as record stores are now.¾ÍÏñ¼Ӱ´øÒ»Ñù£¬°Ñ×ÖÓ¡ÔÚËÀµôµÄÊ÷ÔìµÄÖ½ÉÏÕâÖÖ·½Ê½Ò²ÕýÔÚ³ÉΪÀúÊ·¡£µ±È»£¬Êé¼®»á¼ÌÐø´æÔÚ¡ª¡ªµ«ÊǶÔÄÇЩ½ñÌìÓ¡Ë¢³öÀ´µÄÊé¶øÑÔ£¬µ¥´¿ÎªÁËÏúÊÛËüÃǶø´æÔÚµÄÉ̵꽫»á±äµÃºÍÈç½ñµÄ³ªÆ¬É̵êÒ»ÑùÏ¡ÉÙ¡£
WatchesÊÖ±í
Maybe as quaint jewelry, but the correct time is on your smartphone, which is pretty much always in your hand.ÊÖ±íÒ²Ðí»á³ÉΪһ¼þ¹ÅÀ϶ø±ðÖµÄÊ×ÊΣ¬µ«ÕýÈ·µÄʱ¼äµ±È»ÊÇÔÚÄãµÄÖÇÄÜÊÖ»úÉÏ¡ª¡ª¶øËü¼¸ºõ×ÜÊÇÔÚÄãÊÖÀï¡£
Wired phonesÓÐÏߵ绰
Why would you pay $35 every month to have a phone that plugs into a wall? For those born today, this will be a silly concept.ΪʲôҪÿ¸öÔ»¨35µ¶È¥×°Ò»¼Ü¹Ì¶¨ÔÚǽÉÏµÄµç»°ÄØ£¿¶ÔÄÇЩ½ñÌì³öÉúµÄº¢×ÓÃǶøÑÔ£¬Õ⽫ÊǸöÎÞ±ÈÓÞ´ÀµÄÏë·¨¡£
Yellow and White Pagesµç»°»ÆÒ³
Why in the world would you need a 10-pound book just to find someone?ÄãÃǾ¿¾¹ÊÇΪʲôÐèҪȥ·Ò»±¾10°õÖØµÄÊé²ÅÄÜÕÒµ½Ä³¸öÈËÄØ£¿
Fax machines´«Õæ»ú
Can you say "scan," ".pdf" and "email?"ÓÐÒ»ÖÖ·½Ê½½Ð×ö¡°É¨Ã衱£¬¡°×ª»»³ÉPDF¸ñʽ¡±£¬¡°·¢ËÍ¡±£¬¶®£¿
The evening newsÍí¼äÐÂÎÅ
The news is on 24/7. And if you're not at home to watch it, that's OK -- it's on the smartphone in your pocket.ÐÂÎÅËæÊ±¶¼¿ÉÒÔ¿´£¬²»ÔÚ¼ÒҲû¹ØÏµ¡ª¡ªÌͳöÄã¿Ú´üÀïµÄÖÇÄÜÊÖ»ú¾ÍºÃÁË¡£
Commercials on TVµçÊÓ¹ã¸æ
They're terrifically expensive, easily avoided with DVRs, and inefficiently target mass audiences. Unless somebody comes up with a way to force you to watch them, who's going to pay for them?ËüÃǾ޹óÎޱȣ¬ÓÃһ̨Êý×Ö¼Ïñ»ú¾ÍÄܱܿª£¬¶øÇÒûÓÐÕë¶ÔÐÔ¡£³ý·ÇÓÐÈËÏë³öÁËÇ¿ÆÈÈËÃÇ¿´µçÊÓ¹ã¸æµÄ·½·¨£¬·ñÔòË»áÂòËüµÄÕËÄØ£¿
Film cameras½º¾íÏà»ú
For the purist, perhaps, but for kids born today, the word "film" will mean nothing. In fact, even digital cameras -- both video and still -- are in danger of extinction as our pocket computers take over that function too.¶ÔÓÚÉãÓ°·¢ÉÕÓÑÀ´ËµÒ²ÐíÊÇÁíÒ»»ØÊ£¬µ«¶Ô½ñÌì³öÉúµÄº¢×ÓÃǶøÑÔ£¬¡°½º¾í¡±Õâ¸ö´ÊÍêÈ«ÊǸ¡ÔÆ¡£ÊÂʵÉÏ£¬¼´±ãÊýÂëÏà»úºÍÊýÂëÉãÏñ»úÒ²±ôÁÙÃð¾øÁË¡ª¡ªÅÄÕÕÉãӰʲôµÄ£¬Ò»Ì¨±ãЯµçÄԾͿÉÒÔͳͳ¸ã¶¨ÁË¡£
Hand-written lettersÊÖдÐżþ
For that matter, hand-written anything. When was the last time you wrote cursive? In fact, do you even know what the word "cursive" means? Kids born in 2011 won't -- but they'll put you to shame on a tiny keyboard.È·ÇеØËµ£¬ÊÇÒ»ÇÐÊÖдµÄ¶«Î÷¡£ÄãÉÏÒ»´Îд²ÝÊéÊÇʲôʱºò£¿»òÕßÓ¦¸ÃÎÊ£¬ÄãÖªµÀ¡°²ÝÊ顱Õâ¸ö´ÊÊÇɶÒâ˼²»£¿2011Äê³öÉúµÄº¢×Óµ±È»²»»áÖªµÀ£¬µ«ÊÇËûÃÇÄÜÔÚ¼üÅÌÉϰÑÄã´òµÃÂ仨Á÷Ë®¡£
HidingÒþ²Ø
Not long ago, if you didn't answer your home phone, that was that -- nobody knew if you were alive or dead, much less where you might be. Now your phone is not only in your pocket, it can potentially tell everyone -- including advertisers -- exactly where you are.²»¾ÃÒÔǰ£¬Èç¹ûÄãÔÚ¼ÒÈ´²»½Óµç»°£¬¾ÍûÈËÖªµÀÄãÊDz»ÊÇ»¹»î×Å£¬¸ü²»ÓÃ˵ÕÒµ½ÄãÁË¡£ÏÖÔÚÄã¿Ú´üÀïµÄÊÖ»ú¾Í»á°ÑÄãµÄÈ·ÇÐ×ø±êй¶¸øÃ¿¸öÈË¡ª¡ª°üÀ¨¹ã¸æÉÌ¡£
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